FZAK80 PAFC 102332
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 
230 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 10 FEBRUARY 2016 

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 15 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE
                      
SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLAND WILL WEAKEN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY.
ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY...MOVING OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH
MONDAY.
 
-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.3N 162.1W
TO 59.5N 168.2W TO 61.6N 172.7W TO 60.7N 178.1W AND CONTINUES IN
RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA ICE IS ALSO
PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE ICE EDGE THROUGH
MONDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST 20
TO 30 NM THROUGH MONDAY...WITH MINIMAL ICE GROWTH WITHIN BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL PASS OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH MONDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 151.6W TO 60.7N 151.9W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN
SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR OR
ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH MONDAY. 

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$


National Weather Service Anchorage Forecast Office: http://pafc.arh.noaa.gov