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FZAK80 PAFC 082258
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 
200 PM AKST MONDAY 8 FEBRUARY 2016 

FORECAST VALID...SATURDAY 13 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE
                      
SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLAND WILL SLOWLY TRACK OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
WEDNESDAY...THEN WEAKEN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY. ANOTHER
LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY...
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH SATURDAY.
 
-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM
RIVER DELTA TO 59.5N 168.4W TO 61.4N 172.3W TO 61.0N 178.2W AND
CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA
ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE ICE EDGE THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST
20 TO 30 NM THROUGH SATURDAY... WITH MINIMAL ICE GROWTH WITHIN
BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL PASS OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 151.6W TO 60.7N 151.9W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN
SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR
OR ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
SATURDAY. 

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$


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